New track has Hurricane Matthew 50 miles off Florida Coast by Friday

Hurricane Matthew Wed update 500A

The latest on Hurricane Matthew from our news partners at FirstCoastNews.com:

5:00AM: All of our coastal Florida counties are now under a Hurricane watch. 

2:00 AM:  The National Hurricane Center has downgraded Hurricane Matthew to a Category 3 storm as of the 2:00 AM update.

10:45 PM: The National Hurricane Center has extended a Hurricane Watch from the Sebastian Inlet on the Treasure Coast to the Flagler/Volusia County line. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for areas south of Sebastian Inlet into South Florida.

As of their 11 PM update, the Hurricane Center says Hurricane Matthew is located 55 miles NE of Guantanamo Bay, Cuba and is heading north at 8 MPH. The storm's maximum sustained winds have dropped to 130 miles per hour.

The latest forecast track brings the eye of a Category three hurricane within 50 miles of the coast by late Friday, First Coast News meteorologist Tim Deegan says.

The First Coast is not under a hurricane watch as of yet but that is likely to change Wednesday,

10:35 PM:  Another westward shift in the Naitonal Hurricane Center track of Hurricane Matthew could be coming, based on the latest model runs. We should hear from the National Hurricane Center around 11 p.m.

%INLINE%

9:45 PM  First Coast News has received information from several school districts and the University of North Florida about when they will make announcements about whether schools will be closed.

Click here for the information. 

Tim Deegan took viewer questions about the storm on Facebook at 9:30 PM. Watch below or mobile users click here

 

8 PM: The storm is centered over far Eastern Cuba, still packing sustained winds of 140 miles per hour. The current forecast track has the strongest part of Hurricane Matthew moving north just off the coast of Northeast Florida on Friday, with our area beginning to feel impacts Thursday late afternoon.

A Hurricane Watch is likely for the First Coast by Wednesday morning

 

5 PM:  The official National Hurricane Center track has Hurricane Matthew getting perilously close to the First Coast on Friday.

The Hurricane Center released their latest forecast as of 5 PM, showing Matthew as a "major hurricane" (Category 3 or stronger) moving off the First Coast Thursday night into Friday.

Some models have the storm making a Florida landfall to our south, then skirting the Florida and SE Georgia coasts while others keep the storm further east in the Atlantic.

Tropical storm force winds are a near certainty in the coastal areas of Duval, St. Johns, Nassau, Glynn, and Camden Counties starting Thursday afternoon/evening into Friday.

%INLINE%

It is likely that a Hurricane Watch, currently for areas south of Daytona Beach, will be extended to the First Coast either Tuesday night or Wednesday morning.

2:25 PM:

11 AM : Advisory keeps a similar path for Hurricane Matthew but forecasts a stronger storm off the coast, which means MORE inland impacts.

A hurricane Watch issued from Deerfield Beach to Brevard Co.; TS Watch in effect from Seven Mile Bridge in FL Keys to S of Deerfield Beach 

7 AM: National Hurricane Center reports the eye of  Hurricane Matthew made landfall near Les Anglais in Western Haiti at 7AM this morning.

6:30 AM: Powerful Hurricane Matthew is about to officially make landfall in the SW peninsula of Haiti bringing tremendous amounts of wind and rain. 

5:00 AM: The eye of cat 4 hurricane #Matthew nearing the southwest peninsula of Haiti. Winds of 145 MPH.

READ: 5 things you need to know about Hurricane Matthew and its impact on First Coast

11 PM:  Hurricane Matthew continues to get stronger and the official track from the National Hurricane Center continues to move further to the west, with more of Florida moving into the "cone of concern".

As of 11 PM, the storm was packing maximum winds of 145 miles per hour, making it a strong Category Four storm. The storm will pass over parts of Haiti and Cuba overnight and begin moving towards the Bahamas.

The National Hurricane Center Tropical Storm or Hurricane Watches are likely for Florida on Tuesday morning.

%INLINE%

10 PM: Our current forecast has Hurricane Matthew passing just to the east of the First Coast, with our coastal counties seeing tropical storm force winds and heavy rains starting late Thursday and lasting into Friday.

It is too soon to discount the possibility that the storm may come even closer and bring hurricane conditions ot the First Coast.

Tim Deegan answered many of your questions live on Facebook Thursday evening.  Mobile users watch here 

 

4:45 PM ​The National Hurricane Center has moved more of Florida into the "cone of concern" for powerful Hurricane Matthew.

The official forecast track has shifted to the west, bringing nearly of the half of the peninsula into the cone.
Matthew is a powerful Category 4 hurricane with winds of 140 miles per hour. It is expected to be lingering off the First Coast late Thursday into early Friday.

%INLINE%

Tropical Storm and/or Hurricane Watches could be issued for parts of Florida as early as later tonight or early tomorrow, according to the National Hurricane Center.

First Coast News meteorologist Tim Deegan says to expect tropical storm force winds in coastal areas and it could be more powerful if the storm tracks further to the west on Thursday and Friday.

4:30 PM  Tim Deegan and Jeannie Blaylock answered your questions about Hurricane Matthew on Facebook this afternoon. If you missed it, watch the video below.  MOBILE USERS CLICK HERE

 

2:15 PM: Hurricane Matthew continues to be a dangerous category 4 storm with winds sustained at around 140 mph. The center is expected pass between Jamaica and Haiti during the next 48 hours.

The next full advisory will be released from the National Hurricane Center at 5 p.m. 

12:17 PM:

11:45 AM: 

11 AM: Matthew has re-strengthened and currently has winds of 140 MPH. The category 4 hurricane is expected to approach Southwestern Haiti Monday night. Hurricane force winds extend outward 35 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward to around 185 miles.

Local impacts will start being felt on Wednesday on the First Coast. The exact impact will depend on the exact track Matthew takes. At the very least, gusty winds, beach erosion, and high surf will impact local areas.

 

8 AM: Matthew, with winds of 130 MPH, is expected to approach Southwestern Haiti Monday night. 

5 AM: Hurricane Matthew is moving northward over the Central Caribbean, NOAA buoy reports minimum pressure of 943 MB in the eye of the storm. Winds of 130 mph. 

11:30 PM:
-Hurricane Matthew has winds of 145 mph
-The western edge of the potential track cone includes parts of Florida
-Any westward change in the track of Matthew would increase the local impacts
-Right now gusty winds, dangerous surf, rip currents and significant beach erosion are likely from  Thursday through Saturday

11:00 PM:

10:19 PM: Carnival Cruise line has changed the itinerary of the Elation because of the threat posed by hurricane Matthew. The ship will limit its stops in the Bahamas and add port that will not be impacted by the storm.

New itinerary:
10/3/2016 Mon Carnival Elation Jacksonville, FL (7:00:00 16:00:00)
10/4/2016 Tue Carnival Elation "Fun Day" at Sea 
10/5/2016 Wed Carnival Elation Key West (8:00:00-20:00:00)
10/6/2016 Thu Carnival Elation "Fun Day" at Sea 
10/7/2016 Fri Carnival Elation Freeport (7:00:00-14:00:00)
10/8/2016 Sat Carnival Elation Jacksonville, FL (7:00:00-16:00:00)

 

6:19 PM: Flagler County Emergency Management is warning that beach and oceanfront interests should prepare for the possibility of an extended duration high surf and major beach erosion event beginning on Tuesday and continuing into the weekend.

5:00 PM: Powerful Hurricane Matthew is maintaining its cat 4 strength with 145 mph winds. 

2:00 PM: National Hurricane Center says Matthew is a little stronger again with winds at 145 MPH. Storm is moving  slowly northwestward. 

11:00 AM: Hurricane Matthew is meandering but expected to move northwestward to northward. Winds of 140 mph.

5:00 AM: Hurricane Hunters are expected to return to the skies to investigate Matthew's current strength and structure.

11:00 PM: Hurricane Matthew is expected to remain a major hurricane during the next 5 days.

7:30 PM: The Navy has ordered the mandatory evacuation of approximately 700 spouses and children at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba. The Navy plans to airlift families to Naval Air Station (NAS) Pensacola.

NAS Pensacola has facilities to house families and counselors will be available to provide assistance. The remaining military and civilian personnel at the U.S. base will shelter in place until the storm’s passage.

5:00 PM: Hurricane Matthew is back to maximum sustained winds of 150 mph and min. central pressure has dropped to 940 mb. The National Hurricane Center has issued a hurricane warning for Jamaica and much of Haiti.

4:30 PM:  Governor Scott was briefed by the Florida Division of Emergency Management on Hurricane Matthew, a major category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 140 miles per hour. Scott said Floridians should remain vigilant as this storm is considered life-threatening. 

2:00 PM: Hurricane Matthew meandering over the South-Central Caribbean. National Hurricane Center says the storm is still very powerful with winds of 140 mph. 

11:00 AM: Hurricane Matthew remains a very powerful category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds at 145 MPH. A hurricane watch has been issued for the southern and western coasts of Haiti. 

9:00 AM: Matthew churns in the central Caribbean Sea and is expected to impact Jamaica and Cuba in the next 48 - 72 hours. For the First Coast, we can expect life-threatening rip currents and dangerous surf of 6 - 10' by next week. The exact track on this hurricane is still very uncertain.

5:00 AM: When you went to bed last night, Matthew has strengthened into an extremely dangerous Category 5 storm. As of Saturday morning, the hurricane is back to a Category 4 with maximum sustained winds of 155 mph.

11:00 PM: Hurricane Matthew is now a category 5 hurricane, the first in the Atlantic basin since Felix of 2007. 

The National Hurricane Center reports wind speeds of 160 mph and says the storm is about 80 mi. NW of Punta Gallinas Colombia. The storm is moving at about 7 mph. 

8:00 PM: National Hurricane Center says Hurricane Matthew has extremely dangerous winds at 150 mph. This means the storm is just 7 mph shy of a Cat 5 Hurricane. 

4:52 PM:
Hurricane Matthew continues to strengthen and has winds of at least 140 mph. A hurricane watch is now in effect for the island of Jamaica. The major storm will head in the general direction of Cuba and the Bahamas over the next several days. All residents in the Southeast U.S. and the Caribbean need to keep close eyes on the system. 

Governor Scott said, “With Hurricane Matthew now being upgraded to a major category four hurricane, we all must remain vigilant and be prepared for any impacts this storm may have on our state 

 


2:50 PM:

2:08 PM: Matthew continues to strengthen southeast of Jamaica and is nearing category 4 strength. Winds are currently sustained around 120 mph.

1:30 PM: 

11:15 AM: Matthew strengthens to a major category 3 hurricane in Caribbean. Winds are estimated to be around 115 mph. The hurricane is expected to be a dangerous hurricane in the Caribbean Sea for the next few days before it makes its move into the Bahamas. 

11 AM:

2:15 AM: Hurricane Matthew rapidly strengthened over the last few hours. Maximum sustained winds are now near 100 mph with higher gusts. Matthew will become a major hurricane during the next 24 hours before it nears Jamaica.

11:00 PM: Hurricane Matthew continues to strengthen as it enters the central Caribbean. The cyclone was last reported to have winds around 80 miles per hour. It is less than 600 miles away from Kingston, Jamaica and is expected to get close to the island nation late in the weekend. 

It is too soon to pinpoint the exact impacts to the First Coast. Local beaches should expect windy conditions, rip tides and tides well above normal next week.

10:20 PM:


9:18 PM: Winds are currently sustained at 75 mph with higher gusts in hurricane Matthew as it continues to churn in the Caribbean Sea. Planes are currently surveying the atmosphere in and around Matthew. This data will be entered in forecast models overnight. This will aide the computer models in making better forecasts and  will give meteorologists a better idea of what threats the hurricane will pose to the East Coast of the United States.


5 PM: 

2 PM: Matthew has strengthened into hurricane in the Caribbean Sea. Winds are currently sustained at 75 mph with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is anticipated during the next few days. It is too soon to determine what the specific, local impacts will be.

Latest computer models:

1:30 PM:

11:15 AM: Tropical Storm Matthew continues its track west over the Caribbean. The storm was last reported to be at 14.2 N and 66.3 W- to the east of Jamaica.  Matthew is expected to become a hurricane today or tomorrow. The First Coast will see local impacts from the storm-- the extent of the local impacts are still unknown.

 

10:15 AM:

8:30 AM:

8:00 AM: #FCNStorm Matthew almost to hurricane strength and even stronger despite some wind shear early this morning. Hurricane hunters found wind speeds over 80 mph in the northeast quadrant. 

 

5:00 AM: I'm meteorologist Mike Prangley. Good morning. The big story is tropical storm Matthew that is expected to become a major hurricane with wind speeds over 110 mph by Monday near Cuba. Wind shear weakens and it's going over warm bath water providing high octane fuel for this storm. The models are in good agreement on its path taking it northward next week.

 


It looks like any local impacts from Matthew for us here at home would not kick in until late Tuesday and Wednesday. The main impacts at this point will be showery, breezy weather much like we would see in a nor’easter. Dangerous rip currents and surf would be the other big two. Most models have it passing at least 500 miles east of us by late next week which would dry us out in time for next weekend. But with tropical systems you just take it a day at a time and keep checking back. It all depends on the track.


2:00 AM: Tropical storm Matthew continues its westward track. Pressures have fallen slightly to 1002 mb- this indicates additional organization. The center of the storm is currently about 340 miles SSE of Puerto Rico. All interests in the Bahamas and the Caribbean need to closely watch this storm system. 

The next scheduled update should be released around 5 a.m.

11:00 PM: Matthew's winds are now near 65 mph. The tropical storm is expected to become a hurricane on Thursday. Specific, local impacts to the First Coast remain unknown. At the very least, a large swell should be expected at area beaches next week.

10:30 PM:

7: 57 PM: Tropical Storm Matthew continues to strengthen. Winds are now estimated to be near 65 mph with higher gusts. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will continue to move away from the Windward Islands this evening, and be over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea through Friday.

5 PM: Tropical storm Matthew is on track to become a dangerous hurricane in the Caribbean Sea. The last reported of the tropical storm was 13.8N and 62W. Winds remain sustained at around 60 mph with high gusts. Matthew will remain in the Caribbean for the next several days. The exact threats to the United States from the tropical cyclone remain unknown.

4 PM: 
             #FCNStorm Matthew is a large cyclone we should watch.

3:30 PM: Latest computer forecast models for tropical storm Matthew. It is important to note that computer models run every few hours and have been constantly changing with this storm. It is still too early to tell where tropical storm Matthew will end up after 5 days.

1 PM: Video from Barbados as the effects of Tropical Storm Matthew being felt:

12:30 PM: Florida Governor Rick Scott will be briefed on the tropical storm on Wednesday afternoon. Scott is scheduled to receive a briefing from Emergency Management Director Bryan Koon. 

11:30 AM: The latest projected track has been released by the National Hurricane Center. No expected U.S. impacts on the U.S. during the next 5 days.

11:15 AM:

11 AM:
Tropical Storm Matthew has formed near the Windward Islands. Current sustained winds are around 60 mph with higher gusts. Matthew is expected to become a hurricane by Friday.

A ridge of high pressure is expected to send the cyclone westward to near Jamaica over the next 5 days. After 5 days, the models forecasting the future movement of the tropical system start to deviate greatly on the expected track.

It is too soon to tell what, if any, local impacts Matthew will bring to Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia.

Keep connected for weather forecasts and alerts on the go. Download a First Coast News weather app for your mobile device.


JOIN THE CONVERSATION

To find out more about Facebook commenting please read the
Conversation Guidelines and FAQs

Leave a Comment
More Stories