Tuesday, March 25, 2008

One Game Does Not A Season Make

So, the first big league game is in the books ... and you can already see the ripple effects in your drafts!

I always think its fun to draft a week (or a few games) into the season, because players get unnaturally over or under valued.

My best story is from my first year in the Lou Proctor League.

We drafted while the Tribe was playing a home game against the Twins. Brad Radke was making his big league debut and absolutely baffled the Indians hitters in the contest. Well, he went for more than $1 in my league (salary cap of $30 remember), and delivered a perfectly crappy rookie season.

So, what can we take away from today's Red Sox - A's tilt in the Orient?

Well, if you play in an auction league, Brandon Moss just got a little more expensive. Replacement for an already injured JD Drew? Check. Clutch 9th inning homer to tie game? Check. Been on prospect lists for a while? Check! Get ready to pay more.

Also, JD Drew himself probably costs a little less today, since there are ALREADY injury concerns. I picked him up last year, and won't make the same mistake this time around (unless he comes real cheap.) Needless to say, he wasn't a keeper for me.

If Huston Street is up for bid in your league, well, you're bidding on an ugly Game 1 line ... and already have a loss! Will he be this bad all season? Probably not, so bid accordingly (and remember the injury risk here too!)

Daric Barton drew 3 walks in the game ... a good start for a good prospect! And Jack Cust whiffed all 4 times he came up! Is last year's cinderella turning back into a pumpkin? Or will you have to enjoy those 200 K's that go with 100 BB's, a bad batting average and big-time pop?

Cust is available in our league ... I'm eager to see what happens.

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