Breaking News
More () »

Ben Axelrod's Week 11 NFL picks: Seahawks beat Cardinals, Texans upset Patriots

3News' Ben Axelrod makes his picks against the spread for every game in Week 11 of the 2020 NFL season.


"Last night took an L, but tonight I bounce back." - Big Sean in "Bounce back." 

After two straight losing weeks, I got back to my winning ways in Week 10, tallying a 7-5-2 record. That brings my total for the season to 68-75-2. Let's try to keep the momentum rolling with my Week 11 picks.

RELATED: More sports coverage from WKYC

Seattle Seahawks (-3) vs. Arizona Cardinals

Pick: Seahawks -3

The Seahawks have dropped three of their past four while the Cardinals come in still riding high from the "Hail Murray." I'll take Seattle to bounce back thanks to a vintage Russell Wilson primetime performance.

Cleveland Browns (-3.5) vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Pick: Browns -3.5

Over the course of the past month, the Browns have become accustomed to playing in the elements. Meanwhile, a wet weather forecast could spell trouble for turnover-prone Carson Wentz.

New Orleans Saints (-5) vs. Atlanta Falcons

Pick: Falcons +5

The Falcons should be well-rested coming off a bye and have been playing much better under interim head coach Raheem Morris. Plus, Jameis Winston is usually good for at least one pick-6.

Carolina Panthers (-1.5) vs. Detroit Lions

Pick: Panthers -1.5

Even if Teddy Bridgewater can't play, the dropoff to should-have-been XFL MVP P.J. Walker (MVPJ) might not be as steep as you'd think. This is largely a bet on Matt Rhule out-coaching Matt Patricia.

Houston Texans (+2) vs. New England Patriots

Pick: Texans +2

This line feels like an overreaction to last week's outcomes for both teams. I expect a big bounce back from Deshaun Watson, who wasn't able to generate much offense during a windy day in Cleveland last Sunday.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+10) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Pick: Steelers -10

The Gardner Minshew-less Jaguars have done a nice job of hanging tough these past few weeks, but at a certain point, there's only so much you can do. Plus, the Steelers make good on all the slander they've been throwing toward the MAC this week.

Indianapolis Colts (-2) vs. Green Bay Packers

Pick: Packers +2

The Colts have one of the best defenses in the NFL but have to play a very specific offensive style to be successful. I think Aaron Rodgers will do enough to take Phillip Rivers out of his comfort zone.

Washington Football Team (-1.5) vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Pick: Football Team -1.5

Washington may be one of the worst teams in the league, but it still lays claim to a top 10 defense according to Football Outsiders' DVOA metric. The Football Team's defensive line should create plenty of problems for one of the NFL's worst offensive lines.

Baltimore Ravens (-6) vs. Tennessee Titans

Pick: Titans +6

With the way Lamar Jackson has been playing lately, there aren't many teams I would take the Ravens to cover a 6-point spread against. That includes a talented Titans team coming off a long week of rest and in need of a win to keep pace in the AFC Wild Card race.

Minnesota Vikings (-7) vs. Dallas Cowboys

Pick: Vikings -7

The Cowboys are going to need much more than a bye week to turn this season around. Meanwhile, after a sluggish start, the Vikings seem to have finally found their footing with three straight wins.

Las Vegas Raiders (+7.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Pick: Chiefs -7.5

The Raiders have been impressive lately, but the Chiefs enter this game looking for revenge against the only team to beat them this season. Hell hath no fury like a Patrick Mahomes scorned.

Denver Broncos (+3.5) vs. Miami Dolphins

Pick: Dolphins -3.5

Laying claim to the worst offense in the NFL, per DVOA, it's hard to imagine the Drew Lock-led Broncos keeping pace with a Dolphins team that only seems to be improving with Tua in the lineup.

Los Angeles Chargers (-8.5) vs. New York Jets

Pick: Chargers -8.5

These Chargers are better than their 2-7 record suggests. And it's hard to imagine a better get right spot for them than a game against the worst team in the NFL.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) vs. Los Angeles Rams

Pick: Rams +4

This season has felt so boom or bust on a week to week basis for Tom Brady and the Bucs. While I expect a competitive contest, four points just feel like too many to pass up in a game between two relatively evenly matched teams.