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Ben Axelrod's Week 11 NFL picks: Seahawks beat Cardinals, Texans upset Patriots

3News' Ben Axelrod makes his picks against the spread for every game in Week 11 of the 2020 NFL season.

CLEVELAND —

"Last night took an L, but tonight I bounce back." - Big Sean in "Bounce back." 

After two straight losing weeks, I got back to my winning ways in Week 10, tallying a 7-5-2 record. That brings my total for the season to 68-75-2. Let's try to keep the momentum rolling with my Week 11 picks.

RELATED: More sports coverage from WKYC

Seattle Seahawks (-3) vs. Arizona Cardinals

Pick: Seahawks -3

The Seahawks have dropped three of their past four while the Cardinals come in still riding high from the "Hail Murray." I'll take Seattle to bounce back thanks to a vintage Russell Wilson primetime performance.

Cleveland Browns (-3.5) vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Pick: Browns -3.5

Over the course of the past month, the Browns have become accustomed to playing in the elements. Meanwhile, a wet weather forecast could spell trouble for turnover-prone Carson Wentz.

New Orleans Saints (-5) vs. Atlanta Falcons

Pick: Falcons +5

The Falcons should be well-rested coming off a bye and have been playing much better under interim head coach Raheem Morris. Plus, Jameis Winston is usually good for at least one pick-6.

Carolina Panthers (-1.5) vs. Detroit Lions

Pick: Panthers -1.5

Even if Teddy Bridgewater can't play, the dropoff to should-have-been XFL MVP P.J. Walker (MVPJ) might not be as steep as you'd think. This is largely a bet on Matt Rhule out-coaching Matt Patricia.

Houston Texans (+2) vs. New England Patriots

Pick: Texans +2

This line feels like an overreaction to last week's outcomes for both teams. I expect a big bounce back from Deshaun Watson, who wasn't able to generate much offense during a windy day in Cleveland last Sunday.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+10) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Pick: Steelers -10

The Gardner Minshew-less Jaguars have done a nice job of hanging tough these past few weeks, but at a certain point, there's only so much you can do. Plus, the Steelers make good on all the slander they've been throwing toward the MAC this week.

Indianapolis Colts (-2) vs. Green Bay Packers

Pick: Packers +2

The Colts have one of the best defenses in the NFL but have to play a very specific offensive style to be successful. I think Aaron Rodgers will do enough to take Phillip Rivers out of his comfort zone.

Washington Football Team (-1.5) vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Pick: Football Team -1.5

Washington may be one of the worst teams in the league, but it still lays claim to a top 10 defense according to Football Outsiders' DVOA metric. The Football Team's defensive line should create plenty of problems for one of the NFL's worst offensive lines.

Baltimore Ravens (-6) vs. Tennessee Titans

Pick: Titans +6

With the way Lamar Jackson has been playing lately, there aren't many teams I would take the Ravens to cover a 6-point spread against. That includes a talented Titans team coming off a long week of rest and in need of a win to keep pace in the AFC Wild Card race.

Minnesota Vikings (-7) vs. Dallas Cowboys

Pick: Vikings -7

The Cowboys are going to need much more than a bye week to turn this season around. Meanwhile, after a sluggish start, the Vikings seem to have finally found their footing with three straight wins.

Las Vegas Raiders (+7.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Pick: Chiefs -7.5

The Raiders have been impressive lately, but the Chiefs enter this game looking for revenge against the only team to beat them this season. Hell hath no fury like a Patrick Mahomes scorned.

Denver Broncos (+3.5) vs. Miami Dolphins

Pick: Dolphins -3.5

Laying claim to the worst offense in the NFL, per DVOA, it's hard to imagine the Drew Lock-led Broncos keeping pace with a Dolphins team that only seems to be improving with Tua in the lineup.

Los Angeles Chargers (-8.5) vs. New York Jets

Pick: Chargers -8.5

These Chargers are better than their 2-7 record suggests. And it's hard to imagine a better get right spot for them than a game against the worst team in the NFL.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) vs. Los Angeles Rams

Pick: Rams +4

This season has felt so boom or bust on a week to week basis for Tom Brady and the Bucs. While I expect a competitive contest, four points just feel like too many to pass up in a game between two relatively evenly matched teams.