NEW ORLEANS — In the tropics: Tropical Depression Chantal is of no concern to land. The tropical wave headed our way will not develop. And a wave near the Bahamas and Florida is being given a 30% chance for development in the next 5 days along the East coast. Models are starting to hint at a wave traversing the Gulf by the end of next week and into the Labor Day weekend. Wind shear may prevent this from doing anything, but plenty of time to watch. Models also seem to be bringing the Atlantic basin to life int he coming weeks...not unexpected as we approach the peak of the season in 19 days.
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2019 Hurricane Season Outlook
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted 10 to 17 named storms. It says five to nine of them will become hurricanes and two to four of those would become major hurricanes with 111 mph winds or higher.
Colorado State University, which pioneered hurricane season predictions, is forecasting 14 named storms, 7 to become hurricanes and two to hit major status.
IBM's Weather Company calls for 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three majors. Accuweather calls for 12 to 14 named storms, five to seven hurricanes and two to four major storms.