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Exclusive Survey: Brown Leads Incumbent DeWine

    Updated: 8/9/2006 6:40:05 AM  Posted: 8/8/2006 12:16:04 PM
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CLEVELAND -- A SurveyUSA poll taken this weekend shows Democrat Sherrod Brown defeating incumbent Republican Mike DeWine in the race for one of Ohio's Senatorial seats.

Brown, who represents Ohio's 13th District in Congress, unseats DeWine, 49% to 41% in a vote today, statistically unchanged from an identical SurveyUSA poll released two months ago.

Though there is volatility among age groups - Brown is up among the youngest voters, down among middle-aged voters - the overall outcome is unchanged.

The two candidates are tied among male voters.

Brown's overall 8-point advantage comes entirely from his 15-point lead among female voters.

More notes on the Survey:

  • DeWine holds 78% of his Republican base.
  • Brown holds 82% of his Democrat base.
  • Brown leads by 15 points among Independents.
  • Republican DeWine leads by 59 points among Conservatives.
  • Democrat Brown leads by 71 points among Liberals.
  • But among Moderates, the Democrat leads 2:1.
  • In Suburban and Rural Ohio, the two candidates are tied.
  • In Urban Ohio, Brown leads 2:1. The election is in 13 weeks, on 11/7/2006.
  • Filtering: 1,000 Ohio adults were surveyed 8/5/2006 - 8/7/2006. Of them, 848 were registered to vote. Of them, 503 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

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